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The people named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy. According to NPR's analysis, the states considered to be not strongly leaning in either direction are Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. [1]
Online. 538, originally rendered as FiveThirtyEight, is an American website that focused on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging in the United States. [ 2 ] Founder Nate Silver left in 2023, taking the rights to his forecasting model with him to his website Silver Bulletin. [ 3 ][ 4 ][ 5 ] 538's new owner Disney hired ...
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. [edit] Local regression of two-way polling between Trump, Biden and Kennedy conducted up to the 2024 United States presidential election (excludes others and undecided). The dashed line marks Biden's withdrawal from the race. Source of poll aggregation.
Harris is ahead of Trump in the national polling averages as shown in the chart below, with the latest figures rounded to the nearest whole number. In the months leading up to Biden’s decision ...
G. ELLIOTT MORRIS. August 2, 2024 at 7:28 AM. Harris and Trump are tied in 538's new polling averages. Good news, polling fans: 538 now has polling averages for the new presidential matchup ...
The latest poll from FiveThirtyEight, a website focusing on polling analysis, politics, economics, has Kamala Harris holding a slight lead over Donald Trump in a national poll on Monday. Harris ...
The 2020 United States presidential election was the 59th quadrennial presidential election, held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020. [a] The Democratic ticket of former vice president Joe Biden and the junior U.S. senator from California Kamala Harris defeated the incumbent Republican president, Donald Trump, and vice president, Mike Pence. [9]
Here is what the polls and odds are saying as we head into Election Day on Tuesday, Nov. 5. ABC News project 538 shows Harris leading in the national polls 47.0% to Trump at 43.7%. 270towin shows ...