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The people named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy. According to NPR's analysis, the states considered to be not strongly leaning in either direction are Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. [1]
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. [edit] Local regression of two-way polling between Trump, Biden and Kennedy conducted up to the 2024 United States presidential election (excludes others and undecided). The dashed line marks Biden's withdrawal from the race. Source of poll aggregation.
Online. 538, originally rendered as FiveThirtyEight, is an American website that focused on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging in the United States. [ 2 ] Founder Nate Silver left in 2023, taking the rights to his forecasting model with him to his website Silver Bulletin. [ 3 ][ 4 ][ 5 ] 538's new owner Disney hired ...
G. ELLIOTT MORRIS. August 2, 2024 at 7:28 AM. Harris and Trump are tied in 538's new polling averages. Good news, polling fans: 538 now has polling averages for the new presidential matchup ...
As of 1 p.m. Eastern, 538 has collected three national polls and one swing-state poll that were conducted since the debate.* In all of them, more people who watched the debate said Harris won the ...
Who is leading in the polls and favored in the odds? ABC News project 538 shows Harris leading in the national polls 47.1% to Trump 44.4% compared to one week ago - Harris 47.1% to Trump at 43.9% ...
In the United States, the Electoral College is the group of presidential electors that is formed every four years during the presidential election for the sole purpose of voting for the president and vice president. The process is described in Article II of the U.S. Constitution. [1] The number of electoral votes a state has equals its number ...
In a new poll by the Morning Consult, a business intelligence company, Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump 49% to 46%, according to their daily tracking survey results among likely voters. Map ...