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The people named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy. According to NPR 's analysis, the states considered to be not strongly leaning in either direction are Arizona , Georgia , Michigan , Nevada , North Carolina , Pennsylvania , and Wisconsin .
FiveThirtyEight average: Harris +2.8. 270 to Win average: Harris +0.8. Real Clear Polling average: Harris +1. As the race to the White House continues, you can tune in to the first presidential ...
And this expanded Democratic map gives Harris the possibility of getting to 270 electoral votes even if she loses in the Great Lakes states. Say Trump wins in both Michigan (15 electoral votes ...
Toledo. v. t. e. The 2024 United States presidential election in Ohio is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Ohio voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote.
Nate Silver. Nathaniel Read Silver (born January 13, 1978) is an American statistician, writer, and poker player who analyzes baseball, basketball, and elections. He is the founder of FiveThirtyEight, and held the position of editor-in-chief there, along with being a special correspondent for ABC News, until May 2023. [2]
A total of 538 electoral college votes are up for grabs, so a candidate needs to hit 270 to win. ... One thing to note is that there are fewer state polls than national polls being carried out at ...
The polling average curated by ABC’s 538, which was last updated on Aug. 18, shows Harris with a 2.6 point lead against Trump, 46.4% to 43.8%. Silver Bulletin, the independent site of former 538 ...
Gallup was the first polling organization to conduct accurate opinion polling for United States presidential elections. [1] Gallup polling has often been accurate in predicting the outcome of presidential elections and the margin of victory for the winner. [2] However, it missed some close elections: 1948, 1976 and 2004, the popular vote in ...