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Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball is a free, nonpartisan weekly online political newsletter and website in the United States that analyzes current American politics and predicts electoral outcomes for U.S House of Representatives, U.S. Senate, governors, and U.S. president races.
The current electoral college ratings for the 2024 presidential election from Larry Sabato and the team at the University of Virginia Center for Politics. Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast.
To read recent stories on the race for the Senate, click here. 2024 Senate ratings. Updated: Sept. 25, 2024. 2024 Senate races
Jump to: Electoral College Senate Governor House Electoral College rating changes Sept. 25, 2024 State Old Rating New Rating NE-2 Leans Democratic Likely Democratic Aug. 20, 2024 State Old Rating New Rating North Carolina Leans Republican Toss-up Aug. 7, 2024 State Old Rating New Rating Georgia Leans Republican Toss-up New Hampshire Leans Democratic Likely Democratic […]
Sabato's Crystal Ball has updated its election outlook, making 18 total ratings changes to its Electoral College and congressional forecasts. October 1 update and analysis Maps of the current Crystal Ball projections follow.
Larry Sabato looks inside his Crystal Ball to detail everything you need to know about the major players and issues driving the 2024 Presidential and Congressional Elections. Join In-Person or Virtually with Captions, Free and Open to All.
The latest 2024 House ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. Use the interactive map to create your own forecast.
Sabato's Crystal Ball is a Charlottesville-based political newsletter run by the University of Virginia Center for Politics. The publication describes itself as "a comprehensive, nonpartisan political analysis and handicapping newsletter" that reports on presidential elections and every congressional and gubernatorial election.
Prior to the 2002 midterm elections, where the Republican Party saw gains in both branches of Congress, Sabato's Crystal Ball website accurately predicted the outcome in 433 of the 435 contests for the House of Representatives and 32 of 34 Senate races.
Prof. Sabato directs the Center for Politics’ Crystal Ball website, a leader in accurately predicting elections since its inception. In 2004, the Crystal Ball notched a 99 percent accuracy rate in predicting all races for House, Senate, Governor and each state’s Electoral College outcome.