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  2. FiveThirtyEight - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/FiveThirtyEight

    The UK election was the first time the FiveThirtyEight team did an election night 'liveblog' of a non-U.S. election. [538 37] In April 2010, The Guardian published Silver's predictions for the 2010 United Kingdom General Election. The majority of polling organisations in the UK use the concept of uniform swing to predict the outcome of elections.

  3. Nate Silver - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nate_Silver

    Nate Silver. Nathaniel Read Silver (born January 13, 1978) is an American statistician, writer, and poker player who analyzes baseball, basketball, and elections. He is the founder of FiveThirtyEight, and held the position of editor-in-chief there, along with being a special correspondent for ABC News, until May 2023. [2]

  4. Nate Silver says FiveThirtyEight suspended its forecasts to ...

    www.aol.com/nate-silver-says-fivethirtyeight...

    Election savant Nate Silver blasted FiveThirtyEight for suspending its presidential forecasts — offering up a “theory” that the website he founded is waiting for Vice President Kamala Harris ...

  5. G. Elliott Morris - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/G._Elliott_Morris

    G. Elliott Morris. George Elliott Morris (born June 7, 1996) is an American data journalist who is best known for his work on election polling and predictive analytics. From 2018 to 2023, Morris was a data journalist for The Economist. In 2023, he became the editorial director of data analytics at ABC News including FiveThirtyEight.

  6. Forget polls, the stock market is the most accurate predictor ...

    www.aol.com/finance/forget-polls-stock-market...

    In a 2023 examination of hundreds of U.S. election polls dating back to 1998, FiveThirtyEight senior elections analyst Nathaniel Rakich found that pollsters accurately predicted the winner only 78 ...

  7. Kamala Harris Leads Polls and Betting Odds Against Trump as ...

    www.aol.com/kamala-harris-leads-polls-betting...

    Several sites have created election forecast models to gauge how likely it is for either candidate to reach the 270 electoral college votes to win. Forecasts by 538 and Decision Desk HQ/The Hill ...

  8. The Keys to the White House - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Keys_to_the_White_House

    The Keys to the White House. The Keys to the White House is a prediction system for determining the outcome of presidential elections in the United States. It was developed by American historian Allan Lichtman and Russian geophysicist Vladimir Keilis-Borok in 1981, adapting prediction methods that Keilis-Borok designed for earthquake prediction.

  9. Harris and Trump are tied in 538's new polling averages

    www.aol.com/harris-trump-tied-538s-polling...

    Good news, polling fans: 538 now has polling averages for the new presidential matchup between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. As of Friday at 10 a.m. Eastern, our ...