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Trendlines are 30-poll local regressions, with polls weighted by proximity in time and a logarithmic function of sample size. 95% confidence ribbons represent uncertainty about the trendlines, not the likelihood that actual election results would fall within the intervals.
Evolution of voting intentions according to polls conducted during the pre-campaign period of the 2021 Canadian federal election, graphed from the data in the table below. Trendlines are 25-poll local regressions, with polls weighted by proximity in time and a logarithmic function of sample size. 95% confidence ribbons represent uncertainty ...
^ Strategic Counsel polls from 27 November onwards are multi-day polls. Each new poll removes approximately 1/3 of the data that is the oldest, and replaces it with new data from that day. ^ Nanos polls from December onwards are 3-day polls. Each new poll removes the 1/3 of the data that is the oldest, and replaces it with new data from that day.
In the 2006 Canadian federal election, his results were within one tenth of one percent for all the major parties – a first in Canadian polling history. The Nanos Research Group of Companies includes Nanos-dimap Analytika, an analytics and targeting research practice, which is a joint venture with dimap, a research organization in Germany.
Nanos Research (previously SES Research) is a Canadian public opinion and research company that was established in 1987 by Nik Nanos. For the 2004 Federal Election , the company launched a publicly available nightly tracking program, the first of its kind in Canadian election history.
"Rolling" polls contain overlapping data from one poll to the next, with the fraction in parentheses indicating the proportion of independent data compared to the previous published poll in the series. LV Identifies polling firms that explicitly apply a "likely voter" turnout adjustment to their top-line results. Pre-campaign period
Looks like Nanos/G&M have made all the Nanos data since 2014 public at a new Nanos data portal. Most of the recent results are there, but there's new data for July 23 and August 6, 2021. And it looks like current daily data starts later this morning. Nfitz 13:31, 21 August 2021 (UTC) Thank you, added!
The New York Times-Siena College poll among registered voters showed Trump with leads over Biden of between four and 10 percentage points in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada and Pennsylvania.