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IND wins the tiebreak over CIN on Conference Record (3-3 vs 2-3). TEN wins the tiebreak over MIA on Head-to-Head. CLE wins the tiebreak over JAX/NE/LV on Conference Record (2-3 vs 2-4/2-5/2-5). JAX wins the tiebreak over NE/LV on Conference Record (2-4 vs 2-5/2-5).
Standard-Style Clinching Scenarios This is the standard style scenarios that just involve clinching a playoff berth/division without any concern for seed line. To see the correlated elimination scenarios, check out the elimination section under the seed-specific scenarios.
Standings Entering Week 17. SF wins the tiebreak over PHI/DET on Conference Record (9-1 vs 7-3/7-3). PHI wins the tiebreak over DET on Strength of Victory (79-86 vs 72-93). LAR wins the tiebreak over SEA on Head-to-Head (2-0).
Possible and Simulated Seeds Entering Week 16. We’re trying something new this year. Now that we have some teams knocked out of some seedlines, rather than just list the possible seeds, we’re going to approximate the percentage of possible outcomes than result in each seed’s outcomes.
Clinching Scenarios Entering Week 14 NFC PHI clinches a playoff berth with: 1) PHI win + LAR loss/tie OR 2) PHI win + SEA loss/tie OR 3) PHI win + MIN loss/tie + GB loss/tie OR 4) PHI win + GB loss/tie + DET loss OR 5) PHI tie + LAR loss + SEA loss OR 6) PHI tie + LAR loss + MIN loss/tie OR 7) PHI tie + LAR loss + GB loss/tie OR 8) PHI tie ...
CHI wins the tiebreak over SEA on Conference Record (1-4 vs 1-5). NE wins the tiebreak over KC on Conference Record (5-1 vs 2-4). BUF drops out of the tiebreak with CIN/LAC on Conference Record (5-4 vs 4-2). CIN wins the tiebreak over LAC on Common Games (4-1 vs 3-2).
Standings entering week 18. LAR wins the tiebreak over TB on Head-to-Head. SF wins the tiebreak over PHI on Head-to-Head. MIN wins the tiebreak over ATL on Conference Record (5-6 vs 4-7). SEA drops out of the tiebreak with WAS/CHI on Head-to-Head Sweep. WAS wins the tiebreak over CHI on Conference Record (5-6 vs 4-7).
2022 Week 16 Playoff Picture. Dec 19, 2022 • NFL Playoff Scenarios. Every team’s simplest path to the playoffs. Standings entering week 16. Clinching Scenarios. NFC. AFC. Elimination Scenarios.
This post is here to show at least one way for each team to make the playoffs. Note that the scenarios listed here are not exhaustive - there may be other ways for these teams to reach the playoffs. The scenarios listed here are the least complex ways (or at least a subset thereof).
Standings entering week 17. DAL wins the tiebreak over LAR/TB on Conference Record (9-1 vs 8-3/7-4). LAR wins the tiebreak over TB on Head-to-Head. SF wins the tiebreak over PHI on Head-to-Head. ATL wins the tiebreak over NO on Head-to-Head (1-0).