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Harris is currently holding onto a razor-thin 2% lead over Trump in their national poll as of Wednesday morning. Harris leads in four of the six key swing states, but the margins are small ...
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. [] Local regression of two-way polling between Trump, Biden and Kennedy conducted up to the 2024 United States presidential election (excludes others and undecided). The dashed line marks Biden's withdrawal from the race. Source of poll aggregation.
RealClearPolitics aggregates polls for presidential and congressional races into averages, known as the RealClearPolitics average, which are widely cited by media outlets. Both major presidential campaigns in 2004 said that the RCP polling average was the best metric of the race. [44] In 2008, Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight said that ...
Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated Kamala Harris Democratic Donald Trump Republican Undecided [n] Margin RealClearPolitics: July 15 – September 5, 2024 September 16, 2024 43.0% 49.0%: 8.0% Trump +6.0: 270ToWin: through September 17, 2024 September 17, 2024 45.0% 49.2%: 5.8% Trump +4.2: RacetotheWH: through September ...
The numbers from Real Clear’s polling average are likely an undercount. Pollsters I’ve talked to over the years say undecideds are among the most likely to dodge survey calls.
Kennedy is polling at 4.5% nationally, according to the Real Clear Politics average of polls, down from 11% in early May. It follows a historic trend of third-party candidates polling better in ...
Credit - Illustration by TIME. This article is part of The D.C. Brief, TIME’s politics newsletter. Sign up here to get stories like this sent to your inbox.. No poll is predictive. Every single ...
Most election predictors for the 2020 United States presidential election used: Tossup: No advantage. Tilt: Advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean". Lean: Slight advantage. Likely: Significant, but surmountable, advantage (highest rating given by CBS News and NPR) Safe or solid: Near-certain chance of victory. State or district.